Lets Talk About: Microsoft Prediction Tool That Gave Donald Trump Only 10% Chances To Win Presidential Race


Just can stop laughing Indeed Microsoft’s Bing prediction engine has been mostly flawless until now, as it correctly “guessed” the outcome of several events, sports games and movie awards, so it wasn’t so surprising to see the service predicting the winner of the US presidential race.

What was surprising, however, was that Donald Trump was elected President of the United States, even though Bing Predicts gave him just 10 percent chances to win the race.
Although this is clearly a big fail of its prediction engine, Microsoft has an excuse that pretty much makes sense. The company says that Bing Predicts is based on online trends, so it’s hard to always be accurate, especially in the case of the US presidential elections where charts appear to have changed at the last minute.
“Bing Predicts uses several sources including search, web, social data, third-parties and more to inform predictions. True to the nature of all predictions, we can never guarantee 100% accuracy,” the company was quoted as saying.
Donald Trump, only 10 percent chances to be elected President
As WinBeta notes, Bing Predicts considered Hillary Clinton as the next US President from the very beginning, and at some point, the service gave Donald Trump only 10 percent chances of winning the race.
Of course, there are many possible reasons why the prediction engine failed so badly, and one could be the fact that it relies mostly on online sources. A similar thing happened with voting polls in the United States as well, as most predicted Hillary Clinton to be elected President, so Bing Predicts might have fallen into the same trap as the others.
There are people out there who believe that Trump supporters either didn’t express their opinions before the vote or if they did, they misled the pollsters by expressing support for Clinton. Of course, these are just suppositions, but it’s another living proof that prediction services cannot be entirely accurate, at least not just yet. And Microsoft’s makes no exception.

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